Scientists
say there is "compelling evidence" that Wuhan's Huanan seafood and
wildlife market was at the centre of the Covid-19 outbreak.
Two peer-reviewed studies published on Tuesday re-examine information from the
initial outbreak in the Chinese city.
One of the studies shows that the earliest known cases were clustered
around that market.
The other uses genetic information to track the timing of the outbreak.
It suggests there were two variants introduced into humans in
November or early December 2019.
Together, the researchers say this evidence paints a picture that Sars-Cov-2
was present in live mammals that were sold at Huanan market in late 2019. They
say it was transmitted into people who were working or shopping there in two
separate "spillover events", where a human contracted the virus from
an animal.
One of the researchers involved, virologist Prof David Robertson from the
University of Glasgow, told BBC News that he hoped the studies would
"correct the false record that the virus came from a lab".
Pandemic epicentre
Two years of scientific effort to understand the virus that causes Covid-19
have provided these researchers with a more informed perspective.
This has enabled them to address a key conundrum in the earliest patient data:
That out of hundreds of people who were hospitalised with Covid-19 in Wuhan,
only about 50 had a direct, traceable link to the market.
"That was really puzzling that most cases could not be linked to the
market," said Prof Robertson. "But knowing what we know about the
virus now, it's exactly what we would expect - because many people only get
very mildly ill, so they would be out in the community transmitting the virus
to others and the severe cases would be hard to link to each other."
This Covid-19 case-mapping research found that a large percentage of early
patients - with no known connection to the market, meaning they neither worked
nor shopped there - did turn out to live near it.
This supports the idea that the market was the epicentre of the epidemic, said
Prof Michael Worobey, lead author and biologist from the University of Arizona,
with sellers getting infected first and setting off a "chain of infections
among community members in the surrounding area".
"In a city covering more than 3,000 sq miles (7,770 sq km), the area with
the highest probability of containing the home of someone who had one of the
earliest Covid-19 cases in the world was an area of a few city blocks, with the
Huanan market smack dab inside it," said Prof Worobey.
Source: BBC